Why doesn't Capital Flow from Rich to Poor Countries? An Empirical Investigation
Laura Alfaro, Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan, and Vadym Volosovych ,
2
( 90 )
The Review of Economics and Statistics
347-368
May
2008
Abstract

We examine the empirical role of different explanations for the lack of capital flows from rich to poor countries—the “Lucas Paradox.” The theoretical explanations include cross-country differences in fundamentals affecting productivity, and capital market imperfections. We show that during 1970–2000, low institutional quality is the leading explanation. Improving Peru’s institutional quality to Australia’s level implies a quadrupling of foreign investment. Recent studies emphasize the role of institutions for achieving higher levels of income but remain silent on the specific mechanisms.

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