Financial Regulation, Financial Globalization and the Synchronization of Economic Activity
Elias Papaioannou, Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan and Jose Luis Peydro
,
3
(
68
)
Journal of Finance
1179-1228
May
2013
Abstract
We analyze the impact of financial globalization on business cycle synchronization utilizing a proprietary database on banks’ international exposure for industrialized countries during 1978– 2006. Theory makes ambiguous predictions and identification has been elusive due to lack of bilateral time-varying financial linkages data. In contrast to conventional wisdom and previous empirical studies, we identify a strong negative e↵ect of banking integration on output synchronization, conditional on global shocks and country-pair heterogeneity.